RCS Investments Macro Outlook (Mid-2012)

Below is my updated thesis as of July 2012.  Categories are arranged by order of their respective effects on the macro picture.  For example, I believe that the global economy yields the strongest effect over the macro outlook.  U.S. monetary policy is second and so forth.

To keep tabs on how my thesis is progressing, check out my previous outlook.  For a list of all my past outlooks, click here.

I’ll have my market outlook up by the end of the week.

RCS Investments Macro Outlook (Begn-2012)

Below is my updated thesis as of January 2012.  Categories are in order of importance (i.e. the factors that lead the development of my thesis).  For example, I believe that the most important factor for the U.S. economy and financial markets in general is what direction our global economy takes; therefore, this topic is first.  Government Policy is the second most important factor towards shaping the trajectory of the US economy and financial markets; hence, it’s second on the list… and so on.

To keep tabs on how my thesis is progressing, check out my previous outlook.  For a list of all my past outlooks, click here.

Want to cut straight to the chase and read my thoughts on the markets?  Click here.

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Keeping An Eye Out: Halloween Edition, 2011

It’s important to account for factors, which may help unlock the macro puzzle in the months ahead.  In my bi-annual macro outlooks, I specifically include a sub-section named “Keeping An Eye Out”.  In it I list what I believe will be important ingredients in accurately forecasting the macro picture in the quarters ahead.  My latest outlook can be found here.   This research is designed as an addendum to my latest (Mid-year) outlook and therefore may seem a little choppy in its presentation.  I suggest reading it along with my latest outlook.  Factor cited here will contribute to my updated thesis due in the beginning of 2012.

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RCS Investments Outlook (Mid-2011)

Below is my updated thesis as of mid-2011.  The main points are in order of importance (ie the factors that lead the development of my thesis).  For example, I believe that the most important factor for the US economy and financial markets currently stands in what our Federal Reserves decides to do with respect to QE3, therefore this topic is first.  The global economy is the second most important factor towards shaping the trajectory of the US economy and financial markets (hence it’s second on the list)… and so on.

Don’t like all the analysis and what to get straight to my market opinion?  (Click here)

To keep tabs on how my thesis is progressing, check out my previous outlooks.

Keeping An Eye Out: Late April 2011

In an effort to keep tabs on my thesis and whether reality is matching my forecast, I periodically review my outlooks and compare them to recent news/events.  Please click (here) for my latest outlook for comparison purposes.

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–> Overall we continue to see growth in the Manufacturing sector on the back of a lower dollar (buoying emerging market demand) and steady domestic demand. 

RCS Investments Outlook (Beg. 2011)

Below is my updated thesis as of the beginning of 2011.  The main points are in order of importance (ie the factors that lead the development of my thesis).  For example, I believe that at the present time, the most important factor for the US economy currently stands in what direction our government is taking to address important economic issues, therefore this topic is first.  The global economy is the second most important factor towards shaping the trajectory of the US economy (hence it’s second on the list)… and so on.