
- Monti under fire as crisis deepens
- Here are some bearish thoughts
+- Technicals and Economic Data Ahead
+ Midwest Manufacturing is Booming
+ Manufacturing Remains Healthy
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The macro picture remains ambiguous. Outperformance from the U.S economy and the prospect of worldwide loosening monetary policy remains counterbalanced with a worsening Eurozone crisis and a slowing global economy. This confluence of factors will likely yield increased volatility as investors become flummoxed over which macro trends triumph. Over the short-term and after a 20% rally from the October lows, the S&P 500 seems increasingly vulnerable to negative headlines. A lot of good news has been priced in. View full article »
Overall, U.S. economic activity remains positive. The primary debate among investors centers around a possible U.S. decoupling and positive U.S. equity market performance as a result. I remain very cautious and admonish against piling bullish bets in the S&P 500. View full article »
Risk markets are losing their patience. The Eurozone situation is approaching a major climax. This is by far the most important story to follow in the coming days and weeks. U.S. Economic data has been quite encouraging and the economy remains muddling along. If Europe took care of business quickly (a huge early Christmas gift for the bulls), global stock markets would rally sharply. The S&P 500 could possibly make a run at the bull market highs.
Risk markets seem to be at a crossroads. Both bulls and bears can point to a myriad of factors to bolster their case. I’d like to provide a quick rundown of the strongest points for both sides. View full article »
Check out some good recent articles on “Rational Capitalist Speculator”.
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Wanna know the real nuclear story in Japan? It’s easy! See here.
We’re approaching secular lows in one area. The deal of a lifetime awaits.
There was lots of news flow this week. Here are some links from my tumblrlog (Rational Capitalist Spectulator).
Keep an eye on those German elections!
Inflation in emerging markets still high.
What impact do oil prices have on Global GDP?
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If you check out my bi-annual outlook, there are sections named “Keeping an Eye Out”, which are signals that my thesis is coming to fruition or I’m full of hot air. Below I cover some sectors of my outlook. View full article »
Hey all, I’m maintaining a “tumblrlog” called “Rational Capitalist Speculator” where I post quick thoughts and interesting stories on market and economic events. It’s a good way of keeping tabs on the news given how quick things seem to be progressing at this point.
Check out some recent posts.
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Things are heating up in China.
Things are Heating up in Saudi Arabia.
Time to Reduce Risk for a While.
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Have a great weekend!